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Tropical Storm Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47
2018-10-11 04:40:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 110240 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) P ABREOJOS 34 X 3( 3) 67(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 29(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 12(12) 28(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 28(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 1 28(29) 46(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 25N 115W 50 X 3( 3) 30(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 120W 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 20N 120W 50 39 X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 25N 120W 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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