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Tropical Storm VANCE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2014-10-31 21:54:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 312054 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM VANCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212014 2100 UTC FRI OCT 31 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 26(41) 2(43) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) 4(39) X(39) X(39) CLIPPERTON IS 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) CLIPPERTON IS 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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