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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-16 13:40:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

283 ABPZ20 KNHC 161140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days, and environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance later this week. A tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and Michoacan during the next few days, and these rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-16 07:45:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 160544 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days as a tropical wave moves westward across the area. Environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance later this week, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly northwestward, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-16 01:21:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152321 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located over 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days as a tropical wave moves westward across the area. Environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this system later this week, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 19:37:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located over 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico and Guatemala are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave and a broad area of low pressure. An area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave later this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 13:49:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form later this week a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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