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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-25 13:33:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251132 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 25 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system is located just offshore of the south-central Mexico coast near Puerto Angel. The low is forecast to meander or move slowly westward to west-northwestward over or near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could still form if the system remains offshore over the next day or two. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another small low pressure system has developed several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-25 07:52:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250552 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system has moved inland over south-central Mexico just north of Puerto Angel. The low is forecast to meander or move slowly westward to west-northwestward over or near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could still form if the system moves back out over the water during the next day or two. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another small low pressure system has developed several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for development during the next several days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-25 01:17:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of organization. This low is forecast to meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-24 19:47:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system located very near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is becoming better organized. This low is forecast to meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-24 13:38:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system if it does not move inland over Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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