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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-12 18:25:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121725 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands continues to produce a large area of disturbed weather over much of the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Although environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next few days, interaction with land could inhibit tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-12 12:35:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing a large area of disturbed weather over much of the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this morning, and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so. The disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas should closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-12 06:01:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 120500 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from near the Leeward Islands northeastward over the tropical Atlantic for several hundred miles is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave and an upper-level trough. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this disturbance have changed little in organization tonight, however environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive to allow for the potential development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-12 00:20:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 112320 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from near the Lesser Antilles northeastward over the tropical Atlantic for several hundred miles is associated with a westward-moving tropical wave and an upper-level trough of low pressure. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this disturbance have increased today, and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-11 18:40:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 111739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers activity has increased and become a little better organized today in association with a tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is expected to form by the middle of the week. The system will move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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