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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-02 01:13:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 012312 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located over the Abacos Islands. An area of low pressure located about 100 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next day or two, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure is located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance continues to produce widespread disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization, the system does not currently have a closed surface circulation. Some gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 19:35:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 011735 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located over the Abacos Islands. A broad area of low pressure centered near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is showing signs of becoming better organized, and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next day or so, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another broad area of low pressure is located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance continues to produce widespread disorganized showers. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization, the system does not currently have a closed surface circulation. Some gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 13:50:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 011150 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located near the Abacos. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has become better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development during the next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another broad area of low pressure is located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance is producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 07:41:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 010540 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 100 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure area is located about 150 miles south the Cabo Verde Islands. Although this disturbance continues to produce disorganized thunderstorms, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower activity. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-01 01:13:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 312313 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 31 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located about 150 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas. A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing widespread cloudiness and showers. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico continues to produce a minimal amount of showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the southern and southwestern Gulf of Mexico toward the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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