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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-07 19:56:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
670 ABNT20 KNHC 071756 CCB TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018 Corrected status of Florence to tropical storm in first paragraph. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight, located over the far eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite data indicate that the circulation of a low pressure system located about 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is well defined. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not been sufficiently organized to designate the system as a tropical depression. Only a slight increase in organization would lead to the initiation of advisories on this system, possibly as early as later today or tonight. This low is expected to move slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic Ocean. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next few days before environmental conditions become unfavorable. This system is expected to move little during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Berg/Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-07 13:09:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
873 ABNT20 KNHC 071109 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. Satellite images indicate that the circulation of a low pressure system located about 650 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is gradually becoming better defined. In addition, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain fairly concentrated near the center. This system is expected to become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a low pressure system located just off the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while the low moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-07 07:12:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
072 ABNT20 KNHC 070512 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure centered about 500 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little more concentrated over the past couple of hours, but recent satellite data show that this system is still fairly broad and elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a tropical wave and accompanying low pressure system near the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or over the weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system, and advisories on a potential tropical cyclone or tropical depression could be issued later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-07 01:42:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
958 ABNT20 KNHC 062342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. An area of low pressure centered about 500 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is gradually becoming better defined, although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet increased much in organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave and an accompanying low pressure system near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system, and potential tropical cyclone advisories could be issued on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-06 23:14:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
479 ABNT20 KNHC 062114 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 515 PM EDT Thu Sep 6 2018 Special outlook issued to update probabilities for the far eastern Atlantic system. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. The circulation associated with an area of low pressure centered several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains broad and elongated, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet increased in organization. However, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Updated: A tropical wave with an accompanying low pressure area is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Friday. This system is already showing signs of organization, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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