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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-29 19:27:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 291727 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 29 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located over the Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia, and on Tropical Storm Lee, located over the north Atlantic Ocean about a 1000 miles west-northwest of the Azores. A broad trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward through the southern Florida peninsula. Environmental conditions appear to be marginally conducive for some development and a low pressure system could form near Florida or over the eastern Gulf of Mexico before the upper-level winds become unfavorable early next week. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida peninsula during the next several days while the system moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave is producing cloudiness and showers over the northeastern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Although there are no signs of organization and surface pressures are not falling at this time, conditions could become a little more favorable for some development next week while the system moves toward the west-northwest. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains over the northern Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-29 13:45:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 291145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 29 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the north Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles south-southeast of Newfoundland. A broad trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and showers. This activity extends from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across western Cuba to the southern Florida peninsula. This trough has moved slowly westward since yesterday, and a weak low is now likely to form from this system near the west coast of Florida during the weekend. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development of the low before the upper-level winds become less favorable early next week. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave is producing cloudiness and showers over the northeastern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Although there are no signs of organization and surface pressures are not falling at this time, conditions could become a little more favorable for some development next week while the system moves toward the west-northwest. This system is expected to bring locally heavy rains over the northern Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-29 07:33:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 290533 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 29 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles north of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across Cuba to southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas is associated with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. A weak area of low pressure is likely to form from this weather system later today and move northward near the east coast of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system during the next couple of days, before upper-level winds become less favorable Saturday night or Sunday. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-29 01:26:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 282326 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 28 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles west-northwest of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east-northeast of Bermuda. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea northward across Cuba to the Florida Straits is associated with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. A weak area of low pressure is likely to form from this weather system near the Florida Straits on Friday, and it is forecast to move northward near the east coast of the Florida Peninsula through Saturday. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development during the next couple of days, before upper-level winds become less favorable on Sunday. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-28 19:39:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 281739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 28 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Maria, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and on Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of Bermuda. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the Cayman Islands northward across Cuba to the Florida Straits is associated with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. A weak area of low pressure is likely to form from this weather system while it moves northward across the Florida Straits to near the east coast of the Florida peninsula during the next few days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for development before upper-level winds become less favorable early next week. Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula, and the northwestern Bahamas during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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