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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-19 13:20:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191120 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 250 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with this system are currently located well east of the center due to strong upper-level westerly winds. However, upper-level conditions are forecast to become more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form within the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move northward today and turn north-northwestward on Thursday, before turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the western Atlantic by the weekend. The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft that was scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon has been canceled. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and portions of the northern Leeward Islands today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-19 07:01:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 190500 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 225 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with this system are currently located well east of the center due to strong upper-level westerly winds. However, upper-level conditions are forecast to become more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form within the next couple of days. The low is forecast to move northward to north-northwestward on Wednesday and Thursday, before turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the western Atlantic by the weekend. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and portions of the northern Leeward Islands today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-19 01:23:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 182323 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A non-tropical low pressure system located about 250 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms that extends from near Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic northeastward over the Atlantic for several hundred miles. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for this system to acquire some tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is likely to form within the next few days. The low is forecast to move northward to north-northwestward on Wednesday and Thursday, before turning north-northeastward and merging with a cold front over the western Atlantic by the weekend. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-18 19:47:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181747 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized since yesterday in association with a well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos. The low is expected to acquire some tropical characteristics as upper-level winds become more conducive, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone will likely form during the next few days. The low is forecast to move northward on Wednesday and turn northwestward on Thursday, before heading northeastward out to sea by the end of the week. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-18 13:30:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181130 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicole, located several hundred miles east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Shower activity associated with a well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located just to the northeast of the Turks and Caicos has changed little during the past several hours. The low is expected to slowly intensify as upper-level winds become more conducive, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone could form during the next couple of days while the low moves northward on Wednesday and turns north-northwestward or northwestward on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent && Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicole can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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