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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-08-22 19:38:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221737 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles north-northeast of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 750 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Nearby dry air is expected to slow development during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Tuesday, if necessary. Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent A low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is centered about 300 miles southwest of the southern Cabo Verde Islands. The associated showers and thunderstorms are well organized. However, recent microwave satellite data suggests the system has not yet developed a well-defined circulation. A tropical depression could form at any time tonight or on Tuesday as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-08-22 14:03:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221203 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 DELETED AN EXTRA WORD IN THE SECOND PARAGRAPH For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. Shower activity has increased a little over the past 24 hours in association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Dry air near this system is expected to slow development during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent Satellite imagery this morning suggests that a tropical depression is forming about 300 miles south-southwest of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and if current trends continue, advisories would be initiated later today. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-08-22 13:37:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 221137 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. Shower activity has increased a little over the past 24 hours in association with a tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Dry air near this system is expected to slow development during the next couple of days days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent Satellite imagery this morning suggests that a tropical depression is forming about 300 miles south-southwest of the southern Cabo Verde Islands, and if current trends continue, advisories would be initiated later today. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-08-22 07:28:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 220528 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower activity. Dry air near this system is expected to inhibit significant development during the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent Thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave and a large area of low pressure located almost 300 miles south of the southern Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2016-08-22 01:23:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 212323 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fiona, located several hundred miles northeast of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing limited and disorganized shower activity. Dry air near this system is expected to inhibit significant development during the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a tropical wave and an area of low pressure located about 250 miles south-southeast of the southern Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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