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Summary for Tropical Storm CARLOS (EP3/EP032015)
2015-06-17 16:43:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...CARLOS HUGGING THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO... As of 10:00 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 the center of CARLOS was located near 19.6, -105.3 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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Tropical Storm CARLOS Public Advisory Number 28
2015-06-17 16:43:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 171443 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1000 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 ...CARLOS HUGGING THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.6N 105.3W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning east of Manzanillo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was located along the coast of western Mexico near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 105.3 West. Carlos is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation occurs on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Carlos will cross the coast in the Tropical Storm Warning area today and move into the the Gulf of California late tonight or Thursday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected as Carlos moves near or over the coast of western Mexico today. The cyclone is forecast to become a tropical depression by tonight and a remnant low by Thursday morning as it moves off of the coast of Mexico and into the southern Gulf of California. Carlos remains a very small cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds only extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area today. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the Mexican states of Jalisco and Colima. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Tropical Storm CARLOS Forecast Advisory Number 28
2015-06-17 16:42:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 171442 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 1500 UTC WED JUN 17 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF MANZANILLO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.3W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.3W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N 105.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 106.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.6N 106.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm CARLOS Graphics
2015-06-17 13:55:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 17 Jun 2015 11:55:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 17 Jun 2015 09:04:30 GMT
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Summary for Tropical Storm CARLOS (EP3/EP032015)
2015-06-17 13:53:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...RAPIDLY WEAKENING CARLOS NEAR THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO... As of 7:00 AM CDT Wed Jun 17 the center of CARLOS was located near 19.4, -105.1 with movement NNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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