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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 01:17:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of organization. This low is forecast to meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-24 19:47:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite images and satellite-derived wind data indicate that the small low pressure system located very near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is becoming better organized. This low is forecast to meander or move slowly west-northwestward near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two, assuming the center of circulation remains offshore. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-24 13:38:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated zone of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This weather is expected to consolidate in a couple of days, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form later this week while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system if it does not move inland over Mexico, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-24 07:43:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

700 ABPZ20 KNHC 240543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have decreased this evening in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions still appear conducive, however, for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has changed little during the past several hours while producing only limited showers and thunderstorms. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. && For more information on the system several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-24 01:26:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 232326 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next couple of days while the system meanders or drifts northward a few hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. For more information on this system see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. The circulation of a low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec has become better defined, but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited. Conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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