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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 13:20:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 231119 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 23 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A small area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce an area of cloudiness and showers. Although the shower activity has become a little less organized overnight, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain conducive for gradual development over the next couple of days, but the disturbance is forecast to move over cooler waters after that time which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression in a few days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 07:35:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230535 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. Although this system has changed little in organization today, gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days. The disturbance is forecast to move westward over cooler waters later this week, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for development in a couple of days, and the system is likely to become a tropical depression by this weekend while the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-23 01:50:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 222350 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized during the past day. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. Although this system has changed little in organization since this morning, gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days. The disturbance is forecast to move westward over cooler waters later this week, which should inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a day or two. Some development is expected after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 19:23:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221723 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, have changed little in organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves westward. After that time, cooler waters are likely to inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system over the weekend as it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-06-22 13:24:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221124 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next few days while it moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, are showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form during the next two to three days while the disturbance moves westward, away from the coast of Mexico. After that time, cooler waters are likely to inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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