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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-12 13:10:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121110 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Henriette, located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of showers and thunderstorms located just over 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves west- northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Henriette are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-12 07:16:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 120516 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Nine-E, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located nearly 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Brown

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-12 01:42:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

992 ABPZ20 KNHC 112342 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated near the center of a small low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite images also indicate that the low is gradually becoming better defined. If this recent development trend continues, then advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression or a tropical storm later tonight while the disturbance moves generally west-northwestward, away from the coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for significant development by early Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather located about 1000 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to become gradually more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-11 23:59:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 112159 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 300 PM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low-pressure system south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become a little better organized during the past several hours. In addition, recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that the low has become better defined, with winds just below tropical-storm strength occurring near and to the east of the center. If this recent development trend continues, then advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression or a tropical storm later this evening while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward, away from the coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for significant development on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A disturbance located a little less than 1000 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-11 19:30:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 11 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some development of this system is possible over the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward, away from the coast of Mexico. Thereafter, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A disturbance located a little less than 1000 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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