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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-13 13:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 13 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of disturbed weather associated with a low pressure system is centered just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. This activity continues to show signs of organization and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tomorrow before the system moves inland over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to begin spreading inland over southwestern Mexico later today. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1700 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-13 07:32:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130531 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so before it moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to begin spreading inland over southwestern Mexico Wednesday night. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves little during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-13 01:33:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression will likely form during the next day or so before it moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to spread inland over southwestern Mexico later this week. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another area of low pressure is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it meanders during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 19:48:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121748 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression may form within the next day or two before the system moves over southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are expected to spread over the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or two. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week, while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Landsea

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-09-12 13:51:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Sep 12 2017 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves slowly north or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or two. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week, while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Fifteen-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Landsea

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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