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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 16A

2020-10-23 01:49:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222349 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 16A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON COULD STILL PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.2N 61.5W ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 32.2 North, longitude 61.5 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is expected through early Saturday with a faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will continue to pass well east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next day or two before gradual weakening begins by late Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). An observation site near Heritage Wharf, Bermuda, reported a sustained wind of 31 mph (50 km/h) and a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch/Roberts

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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 16

2020-10-22 22:33:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 222033 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON STILL COULD PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 61.4W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 61.4 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A general northward motion is expected through early Saturday with a faster motion toward the northeast later that day. The center of Epsilon will pass well east of Bermuda tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in strength are expected for the next couple of days before gradual weakening starts on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin

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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 15A

2020-10-22 19:37:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221737 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 15A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 200 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST... ...SHOULD PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA BUT CAUSE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.5N 61.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 61.2 West. Epsilon is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This general motion is expected today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon should make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days, with gradual weakening forecast by early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin

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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 15

2020-10-22 16:58:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221458 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...EPSILON HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ON BERMUDA THROUGH TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.9N 61.2W ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 61.2 West. Epsilon is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast over the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next couple of days, with weakening by early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin

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Hurricane Epsilon Public Advisory Number 14A

2020-10-22 13:58:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 000 WTNT32 KNHC 221158 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Epsilon Intermediate Advisory Number 14A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020 800 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2020 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT EPSILON HAS DROPPED IN INTENSITY... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ON BERMUDA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 61.3W ABOUT 235 MI...385 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 61.3 West. Epsilon has been wobbling toward the west recently, but its longer-term motion is toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today, followed by a northward motion tonight through Friday night, and an acceleration toward the northeast on Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is forecast to make its closest approach to, but well to the east of, Bermuda later this evening. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches) based on Air Force Reserve dropsonde data. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected intermittently on Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake/Papin

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