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Tropical Storm Delta Public Advisory Number 23A

2020-10-10 13:51:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 700 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 101151 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 23A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 700 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 ...DELTA NOW OVER NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... ...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE NEAR ITS PATH... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.6N 91.3W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM E OF MONROE LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: No coastal watches and warnings are in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 91.3 West. Delta is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A motion toward the northeast is expected to begin later today and continue through Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta should move across northeastern Louisiana this morning and then across northern Mississippi and into the Tennessee Valley later today and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Delta is expected to become a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. Hawkins Field in Jackson, Mississippi recently reported a wind gust of 51 mph (81 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels will continue to subside today along the Louisiana coast. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. RAINFALL: For northern Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, and western Mississippi, Delta is expected to produce an additional 2 to 5 inches of rain, with isolated storm totals of 10 inches. These rainfall amounts will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. As the remnants of Delta move further inland, 1 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts, are expected in the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic through the weekend. There is a potential for 3 to 6 inches in the Southern Appalachians, which could lead to flash, urban, small stream, along with isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across eastern Mississippi, Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and western/central Georgia. SURF: Swells from Delta are gradually subsiding along the northern Gulf coast. Please consult products from your local weather office for additional information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Delta Public Advisory Number 23

2020-10-10 10:35:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 100835 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 400 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 ...DELTA CONTINUES MOVING INLAND... ...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS CONTINUE NEAR ITS PATH... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 91.8W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF MONROE LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Cameron to Port Fourchon, Louisiana, including Vermilion Bay. The Tropical Storm Warning along the coast from High Island Texas to the mouth of the Pearl River, including New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: No coastal watches and warnings are in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 91.8 West. Delta is moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A motion toward the northeast is expected to begin later today and continue through Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta should move across northeastern Louisiana this morning and then across northern Mississippi and into the Tennessee Valley later today and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Delta is expected to become a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 63 mph (102 km/h) was recently reported in Alexandria, Louisiana. A sustained wind of 37 mph (59 mph) with a gust to 63 mph (102 km/h) was recently observed in Monroe, Louisiana. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 990 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: Water levels will continue to subside today along the Louisiana coast. Consult products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office for additional information. RAINFALL: For northern Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, and western Mississippi, Delta is expected to produce an additional 2 to 5 inches of rain, with isolated storm totals of 10 inches. These rainfall amounts will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and minor river flooding. As the remnants of Delta move further inland, 1 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts, are expected in the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic through the weekend. There is a potential for 3 to 6 inches in the Southern Appalachians, which could lead to flash, urban, small stream, along with isolated minor river flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible today and tonight across eastern Mississippi, Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and western/central Georgia. SURF: Swells from Delta are gradually subsiding along the northern Gulf coast. Please consult products from your local weather office for additional information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky

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Remnants of Norbert Public Advisory Number 19

2020-10-10 10:34:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 100834 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Remnants Of Norbert Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192020 300 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 ...NORBERT DISSIPATES WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 106.7W ABOUT 395 MI...630 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the remnants of Norbert were located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 106.7 West. The remnants of Norbert will likely drift northward over the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnants of Norbert please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Zelinsky

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Tropical Storm Delta Public Advisory Number 22A

2020-10-10 07:55:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 100555 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 22A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 100 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020 ...DELTA NOW A TROPICAL STORM... ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF LOUISIANA... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.2N 92.3W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ESE OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Hurricane Warning from High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana has been replaced with a Tropical Storm Warning. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Port Fourchon to Mouth of the Pearl River, Louisiana including Lake Borgne. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Cameron to Port Fourchon, Louisiana including Vermilion Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * High Island Texas to the mouth of the Pearl River, including New Orleans * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 92.3 West. Delta is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through the morning. A motion toward the northeast is expected this afternoon through Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta should move across central and northeastern Louisiana this morning and across northern Mississippi and into the Tennessee Valley later today and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Delta should become a tropical depression later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). A wind gust of 68 mph (110 km/h) was recently reported at LSU Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Wind gusts of 55 mph (89 km/h) were recently reported at Adams County airport in Natchez, Mississippi and in Lacassine, Louisiana, and a gust to 59 mph (95 km/h) was just reported in Monroe, Louisiana. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Morgan City, LA including Vermilion Bay...4-6 ft Cameron, LA to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA...2-4 ft Morgan City, LA to Port Fourchon, LA...2-4 ft Port Fourchon, LA to the AL/FL border including Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas and Mobile Bay...1-3 ft Port O'Connor, TX to Cameron, LA including Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Calcasieu Lake...1-3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the tropical storm warning area through the morning. RAINFALL: Through Saturday, Delta is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches, from southwest into central Louisiana. These rainfall amounts will lead to significant flash, urban, small stream flooding, along with minor to major river flooding. For extreme eastern Texas into northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and western Mississippi, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. These rainfall amounts will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. As the remnants of Delta move farther inland, 1 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts, are expected in the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic this weekend. There is a potential for 3 to 6 inches in the Southern Appalachians, which could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible early this morning over southern portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and over Alabama, central and eastern Mississippi, southern Tennessee and the western Florida Panhandle on Saturday. SURF: Swells from Delta are still affecting portions of the northern and western Gulf coast. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Zelinsky

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Hurricane Delta Public Advisory Number 22

2020-10-10 04:40:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2020 000 WTNT31 KNHC 100240 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Delta Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 09 2020 ...DELTA CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE STILL OCCURRING WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.6N 92.6W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Sabine Pass, Texas to Cameron, Louisiana, including Calcasieu Lake. The Tropical Storm Warning west of High Island Texas has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Cameron to the Mouth of the Pearl River, Louisiana including Vermilion Bay and Lake Borgne A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River, including New Orleans * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located near latitude 30.6 North, longitude 92.6 West. Delta is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday morning. A motion toward the northeast is then expected through Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta should move across central and northeastern Louisiana tonight and Saturday morning. After that time, the system is forecast to move across northern Mississippi and into the Tennessee Valley. Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Delta should become a tropical storm, and then a tropical depression, on Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Morgan City, LA including Vermilion Bay...6-10 ft Cameron, LA to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA...4-6 ft Morgan City, LA to Port Fourchon, LA...3-5 ft Port Fourchon, LA to the Mouth of the Pearl River...2-4 ft Lake Borgne...2-4 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas...1-3 ft Mouth of the Pearl River to the AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...1-3 ft Port O'Connor, TX to Cameron, LA including Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Calcasieu Lake...1-3 ft Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring within the hurricane warning area, and should continue during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of the tropical storm warning areas through early Saturday. RAINFALL: Through Saturday, Delta is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 15 inches, from southwest into central Louisiana. These rainfall amounts will lead to significant flash, urban, small stream flooding, along with minor to major river flooding. For extreme eastern Texas into northern Louisiana, southern Arkansas, and western Mississippi, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. These rainfall amounts will lead to flash, urban, small stream, and isolated minor river flooding. As the remnants of Delta move farther inland, 1 to 3 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts, are expected in the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic this weekend. There is a potential for 3 to 6 inches in the Southern Appalachians, which could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight over southern portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and over Alabama, central and eastern Mississippi, southern Tennessee and the western Florida Panhandle on Saturday. SURF: Swells from Delta are affecting portions of the northern and western Gulf coast. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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