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Tropical Storm Peter Public Advisory Number 12
2021-09-21 16:54:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 211454 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...PETER WEAKENING AS IT PASSES BY NORTH OF PUERTO RICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 64.7W ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM NW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM NE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was located near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 64.7 West. Peter is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A west-northwest motion is expected to continue today. A turn to the north with a decrease in forward speed is expected beginning tomorrow. On the forecast track, the center of Peter is currently passing north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today and should move well east of the southeastern Bahamas during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast over the next several days. Peter is expected to weaken to a tropical depression by tonight and then degenerate to a remnant low by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches, with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola later today and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 10
2021-09-21 16:50:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 211450 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE GOING THROUGH A ROUGH PATCH... ...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM.... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.6N 36.9W ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 36.9 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). The storm should gradually turn toward the north during the next couple of days and move more to the northeast on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Rose could decay into a tropical depression this evening and degenerate into a remnant low by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 9
2021-09-21 10:36:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 210836 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021 ...ROSE BEGINS TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.0N 36.4W ABOUT 880 MI...1420 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 21.0 North, longitude 36.4 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A slower northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days followed by a turn to the north. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued slow weakening is expected during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Tropical Storm Peter Public Advisory Number 10
2021-09-21 04:47:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 210247 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 ...RESILIENT PETER MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH DESPITE STRONG SHEAR... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 62.8W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM N OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 62.8 West. Peter is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed on Wednesday, and then a turn to the north by Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will pass north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Tuesday. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center, primarily in the northeastern quadrant. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm Peter could produce rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts possible, across portions of the Northern Leeward Islands, including the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of Hispaniola through Tuesday. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to Hispaniola on Tuesday and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
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Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 8
2021-09-21 04:45:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 000 WTNT32 KNHC 210245 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021 ...ROSE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 35.4W ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 35.4 West. Rose is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Rose is forecast to turn north-northwestward to northward on Thursday. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is anticipated overnight. Gradual weakening is expected to begin on Tuesday, and should continue during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown
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