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Hurricane Isaac Graphics
2018-09-10 04:52:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 10 Sep 2018 02:52:59 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 10 Sep 2018 02:52:59 GMT
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Hurricane Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2018-09-10 04:51:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 955 FONT14 KNHC 100251 PWSAT4 HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 8(20) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 7(19) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 8(23) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 5(30) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 3(28) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 3(33) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 29(36) 4(40) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 9(35) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 31(39) 4(43) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 30(38) 3(41) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 2(17) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) 2(32) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 2(26) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15(26) 1(27) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GRENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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Summary for Hurricane Isaac (AT4/AL092018)
2018-09-10 04:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ISAAC BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2018 ATLANTIC SEASON... As of 11:00 PM AST Sun Sep 9 the center of Isaac was located near 14.5, -41.6 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Hurricane Isaac Public Advisory Number 10
2018-09-10 04:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 09 2018 911 WTNT34 KNHC 100251 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Isaac Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092018 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 09 2018 ...ISAAC BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE 2018 ATLANTIC SEASON... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.5N 41.6W ABOUT 1305 MI...2100 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Isaac. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaac was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 41.6 West. Isaac is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h) and it is expected to accelerate during the next 36 hours. A westward motion is forecast to continue through the end of the week, with Isaac expected to move across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean Sea Wednesday night or Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected over the next day or two. Weakening is forecast to begin by the middle of the week as Isaac approaches the Lesser Antilles. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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Hurricane Isaac Forecast Advisory Number 10
2018-09-10 04:51:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 910 WTNT24 KNHC 100251 TCMAT4 HURRICANE ISAAC FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 41.6W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 41.6W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 41.0W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.7N 43.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.9N 46.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 49.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.2N 57.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 15.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 15.5N 70.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 41.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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