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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-03 13:50:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
912 ABPZ20 KNHC 031150 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while it moves west- northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave near Central America is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from a system to the northwest could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-03 07:11:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
013 ABPZ20 KNHC 030511 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while it moves west- northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-03 01:13:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
333 ABPZ20 KNHC 022313 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward across the tropical eastern Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south- southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while it moves west- northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-02 19:47:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
909 ABPZ20 KNHC 021747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward across the tropical eastern Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec shows no signs of organization. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for significant development for the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-02 13:47:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
902 ABPZ20 KNHC 021147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on strengthening Tropical Storm Hector, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves generally westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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