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Tropical Storm Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2021-10-13 04:37:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 064 FOPZ11 KNHC 130237 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 0300 UTC WED OCT 13 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LA PAZ 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULIACAN 34 53 7(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) ISLAS MARIAS 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MAZATLAN 34 91 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) MAZATLAN 50 39 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) MAZATLAN 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2021-10-12 22:46:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 122046 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 2100 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) SAN JOSE CABO 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 7 34(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) ISLAS MARIAS 34 44 X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MAZATLAN 34 66 22(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MAZATLAN 50 3 29(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAZATLAN 64 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
Hurricane Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2021-10-12 16:42:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 121442 PWSEP1 HURRICANE PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 1500 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X 39(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CULIACAN 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 13 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MAZATLAN 34 3 90(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MAZATLAN 50 X 48(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) MAZATLAN 64 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAN BLAS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Hurricane Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2021-10-12 10:33:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 120833 PWSEP1 HURRICANE PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 0900 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 18(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) LA PAZ 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 34(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 8 54(62) 2(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) ISLAS MARIAS 50 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MAZATLAN 34 3 58(61) 32(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) MAZATLAN 50 X 11(11) 54(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MAZATLAN 64 X 2( 2) 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) SAN BLAS 34 2 5( 7) 8(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) P VALLARTA 34 2 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 47 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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hurricane
Tropical Storm Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2021-10-12 04:37:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 120237 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 0300 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 10(11) 10(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 8( 9) 15(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 26(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CULIACAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 24(25) 42(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X 5( 5) 81(86) 7(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 46(46) 19(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 21(21) 14(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 8(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 35 29(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 20N 110W 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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