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Tropical Storm Cristina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

2020-07-11 05:16:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 705 FOPZ15 KNHC 110316 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 120W 34 40 31(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) 20N 120W 50 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 120W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 25N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 9(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 25N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2020-07-11 04:34:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 110234 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT AUGUSTA ME 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CONCORD NH 34 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WORCESTER MA 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BOSTON MA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PROVIDENCE RI 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW HAVEN CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HARTFORD CT 34 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) NEW LONDON CT 34 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) ALBANY NY 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MONTAUK POINT 34 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) ISLIP NY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) NEWARK NJ 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2020-07-11 00:43:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 102243 CCA PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 CORRECTED PROBABILITIES IN TABLE AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CONCORD NH 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 20 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) BOSTON MA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 68 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW HAVEN CT 34 54 X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) HARTFORD CT 34 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) NEW LONDON CT 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ALBANY NY 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 32 X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ISLIP NY 34 81 X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) ISLIP NY 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 65 X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) NEWARK NJ 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NWS EARLE NJ 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) PHILADELPHIA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2020-07-10 22:46:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 102046 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CONCORD NH 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BOSTON MA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NANTUCKET MA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PROVIDENCE RI 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW HAVEN CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HARTFORD CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW LONDON CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ALBANY NY 34 7 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MONTAUK POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLIP NY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEWARK NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) TRENTON NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NWS EARLE NJ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ALLENTOWN PA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PHILADELPHIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ATLANTIC CITY 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) DOVER DE 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) OCEAN CITY MD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WALLOPS CDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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Tropical Storm Cristina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17

2020-07-10 22:45:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 102045 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 ISSUED BY NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2100 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 120W 34 1 58(59) 3(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) 20N 120W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 120W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER KODAMA

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