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Tropical Storm Karen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2019-09-22 22:36:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 222036 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 24(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT CROIX 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 17(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUADELOUPE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 2 15(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) DOMINICA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRENADA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2019-09-22 22:34:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 222034 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 2100 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 6 5(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) 2(21) 1(22) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm Karen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2019-09-22 16:54:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 221454 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 1(18) X(18) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 20(36) X(36) 1(37) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 20(33) 2(35) X(35) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 11(33) X(33) 1(34) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) SABA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANTIGUA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUADELOUPE 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) AVES 34 1 10(11) 13(24) 1(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) DOMINICA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT LUCIA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT VINCENT 34 72 X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) GRENADA 34 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Kiko Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2019-09-22 16:52:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 221452 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 135W 34 3 11(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 135W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 2(23) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Depression Mario Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2019-09-22 16:44:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 221444 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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