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Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2019-08-29 10:39:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 290839 PWSAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 0900 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HALIFAX NS 34 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 13(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MONCTON NB 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19
2019-08-29 04:39:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 290239 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 24(40) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 22(49) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 28(45) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 34(56) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 31(68) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 24(37) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 37(66) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 28(37) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 39(41) 34(75) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 29(46) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 20(28) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 59(67) 18(85) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 22(55) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 19(36) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 49(52) 27(79) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 24(49) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 18(28) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 61(71) 15(86) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 19(57) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 16(36) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 55(65) 14(79) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 13(46) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 9(26) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 43(52) 13(65) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 10(32) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 16(47) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 14(40) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 13(32) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 14(28) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 26(48) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 31(55) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 36(58) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 40(66) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 39(63) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 26(32) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 30(35) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 48(79) 5(84) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 42(48) 5(53) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 20(50) 3(53) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) 1(21) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 11(26) 3(29) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 1(22) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 23(32) 4(36) X(36) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) GRAND TURK 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Tropical Depression Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2019-08-29 04:38:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 290238 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER LATTO/PASCH
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Hurricane Dorian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2019-08-28 22:44:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 000 FONT15 KNHC 282044 PWSAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 23(35) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 25(47) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 27(41) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 35(52) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 33(65) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 24(35) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 39(63) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 27(34) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 37(71) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 31(44) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 58(61) 23(84) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 25(54) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 21(35) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 44(45) 32(77) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 28(48) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27) FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 60(65) 20(85) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) 21(56) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 18(35) W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 53(58) 18(76) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 17(45) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 12(26) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 43(47) 18(65) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 13(33) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 20(48) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 19(42) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 15(33) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 30(48) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 34(54) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 40(57) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 41(62) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 39(58) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 60(75) 7(82) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 40(42) 8(50) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 6(33) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 27(49) 3(52) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) 3(29) ANDROS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) 1(23) GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 28(35) 5(40) 1(41) SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 8(15) 1(16) X(16) GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT THOMAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAINT THOMAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tags: number
speed
wind
hurricane
Tropical Depression Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2019-08-28 22:34:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 000 FONT11 KNHC 282033 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062019 2100 UTC WED AUG 28 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) YARMOUTH NS 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tags: number
speed
wind
tropical
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