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Tag: wind

Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2018-09-11 10:31:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 176 FONT14 KNHC 110831 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 0900 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 3(21) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 2(19) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 11(23) 2(25) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) 1(22) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 7(29) X(29) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 5(26) X(26) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) X(33) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 33(37) 5(42) X(42) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 1(14) X(14) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 13(37) 2(39) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 5(43) X(43) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) 1(16) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 32(35) 4(39) X(39) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) 1(13) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 4(26) 1(27) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) X(19) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 1(19) 1(20) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tags: number speed wind storm

Tropical Depression Paul Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11

2018-09-11 04:45:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 317 FOPZ13 KNHC 110245 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 122.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2018-09-11 04:43:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 959 FONT14 KNHC 110243 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 2(21) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 1(19) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23) 2(25) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 9(22) X(22) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 9(30) X(30) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) 1(28) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 5(33) 1(34) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 7(43) X(43) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) X(17) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 16(39) 1(40) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 38(40) 6(46) X(46) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 5(41) X(41) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 2(16) 1(17) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 5(31) 1(32) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 4(23) 1(24) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) 1(23) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 1(13) GRENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Tags: number speed wind storm

Hurricane Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15

2018-09-11 04:42:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 656 FONT13 KNHC 110242 PWSAT3 HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082018 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) SANTA CRUZ AZO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) PONTA DELGADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Florence Wind Speed Probabilities Number 47

2018-09-11 04:41:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 262 FONT11 KNHC 110241 PWSAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 5(28) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BALTIMORE MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) 5(27) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) 5(32) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) ANNAPOLIS MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 5(34) WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) WASHINGTON DC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 18(27) 5(32) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 21(35) 5(40) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 28(39) 5(44) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) PAX RIVER NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 26(39) 5(44) WALLOPS CDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 32(42) 6(48) CHARLOTTESVIL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) CHARLOTTESVIL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 39(58) 5(63) RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 2(22) RICHMOND VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 43(61) 5(66) DANVILLE VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) DANVILLE VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 38(66) 3(69) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 4(29) NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 36(67) 3(70) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 3(29) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 33(33) 35(68) 3(71) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) 2(29) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 32(79) 2(81) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 26(41) 3(44) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 2(22) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 38(55) 5(60) GREENSBORO NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) GREENSBORO NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 42(74) 5(79) RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 31(39) 2(41) RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 1(18) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 38(83) 4(87) ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 37(54) 2(56) ROCKY MT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 1(29) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 78(85) 8(93) 1(94) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 49(49) 13(62) 1(63) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 12(35) 3(38) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 43(43) 35(78) 3(81) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 27(41) 2(43) FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) X(23) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 25(36) 4(40) CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 75(77) 16(93) 1(94) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 28(74) 2(76) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 25(50) 2(52) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 86(92) 6(98) X(98) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 67(67) 16(83) X(83) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 19(60) 1(61) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 85(91) 6(97) 1(98) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 66(66) 17(83) 1(84) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 41(41) 21(62) 1(63) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 73(75) 16(91) 1(92) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 45(45) 25(70) 2(72) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 24(47) 2(49) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 69(71) 17(88) 1(89) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 27(64) 1(65) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 22(39) 2(41) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 75(79) 10(89) X(89) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) 16(62) X(62) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 14(38) 1(39) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 28(54) 2(56) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) 2(22) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 20(30) 3(33) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 51(52) 23(75) 1(76) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 20(39) 1(40) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 2(23) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 58(59) 15(74) 1(75) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 15(36) 2(38) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 2(19) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 21(53) 2(55) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 1(21) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 16(33) 2(35) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 3(22) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 2(15) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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