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Tropical Storm Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2017-09-16 22:34:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 162034 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2017-09-16 16:50:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 161450 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 23(47) PONCE PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) PONCE PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 27(46) AGUADILLA PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) AGUADILLA PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 25(54) SAN JUAN PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15(24) SAN JUAN PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 20(56) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 14(27) VIEQUES PR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 35(42) 16(58) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 13(28) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 34(43) 15(58) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 10(28) SAINT CROIX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 36(57) 8(65) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 6(30) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 30(64) 4(68) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 21(30) 4(34) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 22(63) 3(66) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 14(29) 2(31) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 21(67) 2(69) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 16(33) 2(35) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 47(55) 14(69) 1(70) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 10(34) 1(35) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 19(41) 4(45) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 2(21) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 41(50) 9(59) X(59) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26) 1(27) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 31(44) 4(48) 1(49) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 3(20) 1(21) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 4(32) X(32) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 2(20) 1(21) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BARBADOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 8(25) 2(27) X(27) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 45

2017-09-16 16:41:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT12 KNHC 161441 PWSAT2 HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 4(15) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 3(26) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 2(22) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 3(29) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) BOSTON MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 32(38) 7(45) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 4(17) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 35(44) 6(50) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 3(20) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 26(32) 3(35) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 2(26) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 17(24) 2(26) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 2(25) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) 3(33) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ALBANY NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 25(35) 2(37) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 16(27) 1(28) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) 1(23) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) 1(21) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) 1(20) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) 1(18) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 11(22) 1(23) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) 1(17) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 8(23) 1(24) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) X(17) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) 1(23) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 5(25) X(25) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 4(21) 1(22) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 2(16) X(16) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 2(17) X(17) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 2(18) X(18) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 2(18) X(18) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 10(26) 1(27) X(27) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Lee Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2017-09-16 16:41:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 161441 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20

2017-09-16 16:39:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 161439 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 126.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tags: number speed wind tropical

 

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