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Hurricane Gert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

2017-08-15 04:36:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE AUG 15 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 150236 PWSAT3 HURRICANE GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017 0300 UTC TUE AUG 15 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS ...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 4(40) X(40) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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Tropical Storm Gert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

2017-08-14 22:46:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 142046 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017 2100 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 16(36) X(36) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Tropical Storm Gert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2017-08-14 16:38:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 141437 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017 1500 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW RIVER NC 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY

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Tropical Storm Gert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

2017-08-14 10:34:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 140834 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017 0900 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 17(22) X(22) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Tropical Storm Gert Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5

2017-08-14 04:32:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 140232 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM GERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082017 0300 UTC MON AUG 14 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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