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Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2017-08-19 16:46:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 191445 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 1500 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 44(53) 14(67) X(67) X(67) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) X(17) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 6(22) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 30N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2017-08-19 10:42:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 190841 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 1(30) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 4(33) X(33) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LES CAYES 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2017-08-19 10:39:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 190839 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 0900 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 125W 34 X 20(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 20N 125W 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) 30(71) 1(72) X(72) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 26(33) 1(34) X(34) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) X(14) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) X(16) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 30N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2017-08-19 04:33:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FONT14 KNHC 190233 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092017 0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 2(29) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 17(32) X(32) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Kenneth Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2017-08-19 04:31:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 190231 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132017 0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 77 1(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 15N 120W 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 125W 34 X 27(27) 17(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 15N 125W 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 41(61) 2(63) X(63) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 2(24) X(24) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) 25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 5(14) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 16(28) 1(29) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 14(23) 25N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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