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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 42
2016-10-08 16:57:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 081457 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) DANVILLE VA 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 3 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) NORFOLK VA 34 4 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) OCEANA NAS VA 34 4 6(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ELIZABETH CTY 34 6 11(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RALEIGH NC 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ROCKY MT NC 34 9 5(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 34 16 48(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 21 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 62 18(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) CHERRY PT NC 50 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW RIVER NC 34 59 29(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) NEW RIVER NC 50 2 25(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 69 20(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) MOREHEAD CITY 50 3 23(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 90 4(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) SURF CITY NC 50 16 13(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) SURF CITY NC 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) WILMINGTON NC 50 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) WILMINGTON NC 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 61 6(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) BALD HEAD ISL 64 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FLORENCE SC 34 60 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) COLUMBIA SC 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) LITTLE RIVER 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) MYRTLE BEACH 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 78 X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) GEORGETOWN SC 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) AUGUSTA GA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYPORT NS FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2016-10-08 10:54:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 080853 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DANVILLE VA 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK VA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 7( 8) 5(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 34(36) 18(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FAYETTEVILLE 34 14 22(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHERRY PT NC 34 5 64(69) 6(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 17(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 70(74) 8(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 24(24) 9(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MOREHEAD CITY 34 6 71(77) 5(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 27(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SURF CITY NC 34 39 50(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) SURF CITY NC 50 2 40(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) SURF CITY NC 64 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) WILMINGTON NC 34 60 34(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) WILMINGTON NC 50 3 45(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 34 85 13(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) BALD HEAD ISL 50 10 64(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) BALD HEAD ISL 64 1 35(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) FLORENCE SC 34 65 2(67) 1(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) FLORENCE SC 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 5 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LITTLE RIVER 34 95 4(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 26 41(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) LITTLE RIVER 64 4 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MYRTLE BEACH 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 47 26(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) MYRTLE BEACH 64 10 20(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 78 6(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) GEORGETOWN SC 64 33 12(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) CHARLESTON SC 64 47 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 61 X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAVANNAH GA 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2016-10-08 10:39:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 080839 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 13(22) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 40
2016-10-08 04:59:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 080258 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) DANVILLE VA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) NORFOLK VA 34 1 4( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 8( 9) 10(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GREENSBORO NC 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 3 7(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 11(14) 6(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) CAPE HATTERAS 34 2 20(22) 33(55) 5(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 12 36(48) 3(51) X(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) FAYETTEVILLE 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 5 52(57) 16(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 10(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 4 52(56) 22(78) 2(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) NEW RIVER NC 50 X 11(11) 20(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOREHEAD CITY 34 5 57(62) 17(79) 1(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 14(14) 17(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SURF CITY NC 34 19 63(82) 5(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) SURF CITY NC 50 1 31(32) 9(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) SURF CITY NC 64 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) WILMINGTON NC 34 38 51(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) WILMINGTON NC 50 1 39(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BALD HEAD ISL 34 62 33(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BALD HEAD ISL 50 3 59(62) 4(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 28(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) FLORENCE SC 34 63 16(79) X(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) FLORENCE SC 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COLUMBIA SC 34 28 5(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) LITTLE RIVER 34 78 20(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) LITTLE RIVER 50 5 57(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) LITTLE RIVER 64 1 24(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) MYRTLE BEACH 34 87 11(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) MYRTLE BEACH 50 14 53(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) MYRTLE BEACH 64 2 28(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) GEORGETOWN SC 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 47 33(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) GEORGETOWN SC 64 11 35(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 77 6(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) CHARLESTON SC 64 43 8(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 53 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ATLANTA GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 8 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAVANNAH GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAVANNAH GA 50 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) SAVANNAH GA 64 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WAYCROSS GA 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GAINESVILLE FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) THE VILLAGES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ORLANDO FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PATRICK AFB 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) FT PIERCE FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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matthew
Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2016-10-08 04:50:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 080249 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0300 UTC SAT OCT 08 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 15(32) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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