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Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2016-10-05 22:31:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 052031 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 2100 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 4(10) 6(16) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 30
2016-10-05 16:49:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 051449 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) 3(17) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 3(18) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 6(29) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 12(27) 3(30) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 18(30) 5(35) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 22(33) 5(38) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) 5(38) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 20(39) 5(44) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 20(41) 4(45) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 1(16) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 22(49) 4(53) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 1(22) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 14(39) 2(41) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 8(30) 1(31) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 18(48) 4(52) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) 1(21) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 18(51) 3(54) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) 1(22) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 17(55) 2(57) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 9(25) 2(27) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 13(57) 2(59) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 8(28) 2(30) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 37(47) 11(58) 1(59) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 7(27) 1(28) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 6(28) X(28) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 36(48) 8(56) 1(57) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25) 1(26) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 35(60) 6(66) X(66) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) 3(33) X(33) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) X(16) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 29(42) 6(48) 1(49) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 35(66) 5(71) X(71) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 25(34) 3(37) X(37) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 1(19) X(19) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 33(61) 5(66) 1(67) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) 3(32) X(32) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) 23(54) 4(58) X(58) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 1(15) X(15) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 19(19) 44(63) 19(82) 2(84) X(84) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 21(48) 3(51) X(51) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 12(12) 15(27) 1(28) X(28) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 11(11) 35(46) 20(66) 3(69) X(69) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 10(22) 2(24) X(24) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 41(68) 14(82) 2(84) X(84) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 28(33) 14(47) 1(48) X(48) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) 1(19) X(19) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 3( 3) 41(44) 39(83) 8(91) 1(92) X(92) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 15(15) 37(52) 11(63) 1(64) X(64) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 10(40) X(40) X(40) PATRICK AFB 34 X 3( 3) 41(44) 38(82) 8(90) 1(91) X(91) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 14(14) 37(51) 12(63) 1(64) X(64) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 9(39) X(39) X(39) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 6( 6) 57(63) 26(89) 4(93) X(93) 1(94) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 31(31) 31(62) 7(69) X(69) X(69) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 15(15) 26(41) 6(47) X(47) X(47) W PALM BEACH 34 X 11(11) 65(76) 13(89) 2(91) X(91) X(91) W PALM BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) 18(64) 4(68) X(68) X(68) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) 23(23) 16(39) 4(43) X(43) X(43) FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 14(15) 59(74) 9(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X 2( 2) 38(40) 11(51) 2(53) X(53) X(53) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 19(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) MIAMI FL 34 1 13(14) 51(65) 8(73) 2(75) X(75) 1(76) MIAMI FL 50 X 2( 2) 27(29) 8(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) MARATHON FL 34 1 4( 5) 14(19) 6(25) 2(27) 1(28) X(28) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) KEY WEST FL 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) NAPLES FL 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 14(36) 6(42) 1(43) X(43) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 18(41) 7(48) 2(50) X(50) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 17(30) 8(38) 1(39) X(39) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 13(47) 2(49) X(49) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) 15(36) 3(39) X(39) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 3(18) X(18) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 2(14) X(14) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 2(14) X(14) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 2 40(42) 53(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 8( 8) 70(78) 8(86) X(86) 1(87) X(87) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X 2( 2) 52(54) 9(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 8 89(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 80(81) 10(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 57(57) 16(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) ANDROS 34 32 64(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) ANDROS 50 4 76(80) 2(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) ANDROS 64 1 55(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) GREAT EXUMA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 50 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GREAT EXUMA 64 64 14(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) SAN SALVADOR 34 87 2(89) X(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SAN SALVADOR 50 9 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAN SALVADOR 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) HAVANA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CAMAGUEY 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-10-05 16:32:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 051432 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 6(14) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 29
2016-10-05 10:50:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 050850 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 10(32) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 13(21) 5(26) FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 7(33) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 8(37) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 23(29) 7(36) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 22(33) 6(39) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 3(14) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 21(33) 6(39) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 23(40) 6(46) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 2(19) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 12(29) 4(33) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 8(23) 2(25) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 20(39) 5(44) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 2(17) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 20(42) 4(46) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 20(47) 3(50) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) 2(20) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 18(51) 2(53) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 9(21) 1(22) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 15(51) 2(53) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 1(21) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 7(22) 1(23) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 34(38) 12(50) 2(52) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 6(19) X(19) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 39(50) 10(60) X(60) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 5(26) 1(27) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 28(34) 9(43) X(43) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 41(55) 9(64) X(64) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 5(29) X(29) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 39(51) 9(60) X(60) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 4(24) X(24) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 32(46) 7(53) 1(54) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 32(37) 36(73) 4(77) X(77) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 27(38) 3(41) X(41) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 1(22) X(22) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 31(58) 5(63) X(63) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 2(19) X(19) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 38(45) 27(72) 4(76) X(76) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 23(38) 2(40) X(40) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 1(13) X(13) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) 14(14) 48(62) 22(84) 2(86) X(86) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 24(53) 2(55) X(55) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 18(31) 2(33) X(33) PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) 14(14) 48(62) 22(84) 2(86) X(86) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 24(53) 2(55) X(55) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 18(31) 1(32) X(32) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 49(76) 13(89) 1(90) X(90) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 39(44) 17(61) 1(62) X(62) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 14(38) 1(39) X(39) W PALM BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 41(44) 38(82) 7(89) 1(90) X(90) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 15(15) 38(53) 10(63) X(63) X(63) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 8(41) X(41) X(41) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 4( 4) 45(49) 28(77) 6(83) 1(84) X(84) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 19(19) 31(50) 5(55) 1(56) X(56) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 5(34) X(34) X(34) MIAMI FL 34 X 4( 4) 41(45) 25(70) 5(75) 1(76) X(76) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 16(16) 24(40) 4(44) X(44) X(44) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) MARATHON FL 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 12(29) 5(34) X(34) X(34) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KEY WEST FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 12(12) 23(35) 9(44) 2(46) X(46) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 10(10) 26(36) 11(47) 3(50) X(50) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) 12(35) 3(38) X(38) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 19(42) 4(46) X(46) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 22(32) 4(36) 1(37) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) X(16) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 3(18) X(18) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) X(13) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X 8( 8) 67(75) 19(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) 40(40) 33(73) 4(77) X(77) X(77) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) 19(19) 31(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 67(69) 27(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X 27(27) 56(83) 3(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 9( 9) 54(63) 3(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) ANDROS 34 3 80(83) 12(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) ANDROS 50 1 48(49) 27(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) ANDROS 64 X 23(23) 32(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) GREAT EXUMA 34 77 22(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GREAT EXUMA 50 19 72(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) GREAT EXUMA 64 4 66(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) SAN SALVADOR 34 56 28(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) SAN SALVADOR 50 3 14(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAYAGUANA 34 70 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) GRAND TURK 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAMAGUEY 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) X(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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matthew
Tropical Storm NICOLE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2016-10-05 10:28:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 050828 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 0900 UTC WED OCT 05 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 8(15) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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