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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 19:06:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000ABPZ20 KNHC 041706TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96):A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles south of southern and southwestern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 19:05:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000ABNT20 KNHC 041705TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 PM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):Satellite wind data indicate that the system located about 150 miles off the northeast Florida coast has become better defined today with an area of strong winds located on its east side. Showers and thunderstorms are also persisting near and to the east of the center. A short-lived subtropical or tropical depression could form later today or on Saturday while the system drifts generally north-northwestward. This low is expected to move inland over the southeastern U.S. by early Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently en route, and the data they collect should provide more details on the system's structure. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.$$Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 13:53:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

647 ABNT20 KNHC 041153TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 100 miles off the northeast Florida coast. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical or subtropical depression could form late today or on Saturday while the system drifts northward. This low is expected to move inland over the southeastern U.S. Saturday night or early Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.$$Forecaster Cangialosi/Beven

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 13:46:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

852 ABPZ20 KNHC 041145TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 AM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of Southern Mexico:A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$Forecaster Beven

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 07:05:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000ABPZ20 KNHC 040505TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 3 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:South of Southern Mexico:A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$Forecaster Gibbs/Blake

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 07:04:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

448 ABNT20 KNHC 040504TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL200 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Near the Southeastern United States (AL92):Satellite wind data indicate that a weak area of low pressure has formed about 100 miles east of Jacksonville, Florida, and is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for further development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form near the southeastern United States late today or over the weekend if the low remains offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.$$Forecaster Blake

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 01:34:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

917 ABNT20 KNHC 032332TWOAT Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL800 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Near the Southeastern U.S.:Disorganized showers and thunderstorms across the Florida Peninsula eastward to the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean are associated with a weak surface trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form in this region over the weekend while the system drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across portions of west-central and southwestern Florida through early Saturday, and across coastal sections of the Carolinas beginning later on Saturday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday, if necessary.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.$$Forecaster Blake

Category: Transportation and Logistics

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2025-07-04 01:28:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

857 ABPZ20 KNHC 032327TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL500 PM PDT Thu Jul 3 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Flossie, located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. South of Southern Mexico:A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, partly associated with a tropical wave, is centered a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$Forecaster Gibbs/Blake

Category: Transportation and Logistics