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Hurricane Erin Public Advisory Number 27a
2025-08-18 07:34:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Mon Aug 18 2025 609 WTNT35 KNHC 180534 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Erin Intermediate Advisory Number 27A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 200 AM AST Mon Aug 18 2025 ...ERIN'S OUTER RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... ...LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ACROSS THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.6N 69.9W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 935 MI...1500 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands * Southeast Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the central Bahamas, the North Carolina Outer Banks, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Erin was located near latitude 22.6 North, longitude 69.9 West. Erin is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A gradual turn to the north is expected later today and on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the southeastern Bahamas today and move between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States by the middle of the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Erin is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected today. Even though some weakening is forecast beginning tonight, Erin will remain a large and dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week. Erin is increasing in size. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The minimum central pressure based on Air Force reconnaissance dropsonde data is 945 mb (27.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC. RAINFALL: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to produce localized areas of heavy rainfall across Puerto Rico. Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches are expected across Puerto Rico today. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts to 6 inches, are forecast over the Turks and Caicos and the eastern Bahamas including San Salvador Island through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected today across the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. SURF: Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next several days. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather forecast office for more information. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2025-08-18 07:31:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
068 ABPZ20 KNHC 180531TWOEP Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 17 2025For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.$$Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Graphics
2025-08-18 05:21:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2025 02:58:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2025 03:21:54 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Graphics
2025-08-18 05:00:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2025 02:58:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 18 Aug 2025 02:58:00 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Forecast Discussion Number 27
2025-08-18 04:56:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 17 2025 531 WTNT45 KNHC 180255 TCDAT5 Hurricane Erin Discussion Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 17 2025 Erin appears to have successfully completed its eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) that began yesterday. A F-16 SSMIS pass at 2314 UTC showed just a single eyewall with Erin that also appears to be contracting. Thus, Erin appears to be re-intensifying but now with a larger 20 n mi radius of maximum winds. Satellite intensity estimates, both subjective and objective, are starting to increase again. Notably, we received a T6.0/115 kt subjective Dvorak intensity value at 00 UTC. The DMINT value associated with that earlier SSMIS pass was 113 kt, and given the improvement of Erin's structure on GOES-19 satellite imagery since that time period, the initial intensity is being increased to 115 kt this advisory, making Erin a Category 4 hurricane again. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission will soon be in the core of Erin to provide updated in-situ observations of the hurricane. It looks like Erin is beginning to turn northwestward, with the initial motion now estimated to be 305/10 kt. The mid-level ridge that has been steering Erin over the last few days is beginning to split, with one ridge remaining parked over the Ohio Valley in the United States, but another ridge becoming positioned more eastward of Erin. This pattern will allow a weakness to form north of Erin, enabling the large hurricane to turn northward and then northeastward roughly between the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda. The track guidance this cycle have not made very many adjustments, and thus the latest NHC forecast track looks quite similar to the prior advisory, just a little slower over the next 48 hours. This track lies roughly in between the Google Deep Mind ensemble mean (GDMI) and HFIP corrected consensus approach (HCCA). Now that Erin has completed its ERC, there is a short-term window where additional intensification could occur while the hurricane remains over warm waters near 29C and light to moderate northwesterly shear. There are a couple of complications that make the intensity forecast tricky beyond this time period. First, vertical wind shear is expected to increase over Erin soon. If Erin also then undergoes another ERC, sometime in the 24-48 h time period, this could hasten a weakening trend, like HAFS-A/B models have been suggesting. Second, as Erin grows in size, its footprint of cool upwelling will also grow, and could potentially encroach on its inner core. Several AOML/CIMAS gliders have been near the inner core of Erin over the past 24 hours, and their in-situ observations indicate that Erin has already cooled the waters in its vicinity up to 1C over the past day. This rate of ocean cooling near Erin is likely to continue increasing as the storm grows in size and slows over the next 48-60 h. Thus, the intensity forecast shows gradual weakening beginning after a short round of intensification, which is a little lower than the previous NHC intensity forecast beyond the short-term, but still not far off from the HCCA consensus aid. Erin's wind radii have been growing in size, and are expected to continue expanding over the next few days. The expanding wind field will result in rough ocean conditions over much of the western Atlantic. It should be noted that the 34- and 50-kt wind speed probabilities beyond 36 hours in the text and graphical products are likely underestimating the risk of those winds occurring. This is because the forecast wind field of Erin is considerably larger than average compared to the wind field used to derive the wind speed probability product. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Bands of heavy rainfall will linger across portions of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through tonight, but are expected to diminish by Monday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Turks and Caicos Islands and in the southeast Bahamas tonight and Monday. 3. Erin is expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of the U.S., Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during the next several days. 4. Interests along the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin as there is a risk of strong winds associated with the outer rainbands during the middle part of the week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/0300Z 22.3N 69.3W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 18/1200Z 23.2N 70.2W 125 KT 145 MPH 24H 19/0000Z 24.6N 71.3W 115 KT 130 MPH 36H 19/1200Z 26.1N 72.1W 110 KT 125 MPH 48H 20/0000Z 28.0N 72.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 60H 20/1200Z 29.9N 73.1W 100 KT 115 MPH 72H 21/0000Z 32.0N 72.5W 95 KT 110 MPH 96H 22/0000Z 36.5N 67.5W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 23/0000Z 41.4N 56.7W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27
2025-08-18 04:55:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 044 FONT15 KNHC 180253 PWSAT5 HURRICANE ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 8(19) X(19) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ANDROS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 7(10) 8(18) 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 6 8(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MAYAGUANA 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 34 4(38) 2(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) GRAND TURK 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Erin (AT5/AL052025)
2025-08-18 04:54:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...ERIN RE-INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AFTER COMPLETING AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE... ...LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ACROSS THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD AS ERIN BECOMES A VERY LARGE HURRICANE THIS WEEK... As of 11:00 PM AST Sun Aug 17 the center of Erin was located near 22.3, -69.3 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 942 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 130 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Public Advisory Number 27
2025-08-18 04:54:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 17 2025 988 WTNT35 KNHC 180254 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Erin Advisory Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 1100 PM AST Sun Aug 17 2025 ...ERIN RE-INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AFTER COMPLETING AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE... ...LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ACROSS THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD AS ERIN BECOMES A VERY LARGE HURRICANE THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 69.3W ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM ENE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND ABOUT 965 MI...1555 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Turks and Caicos Islands * Southeast Bahamas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests elsewhere in the central Bahamas, the North Carolina Outer Banks, and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Erin was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 69.3 West. Erin is now moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A gradual turn to the north-northwest and then north is expected on Monday into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east and northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas overnight into Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Erin is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected over the next 12 hours followed by gradual weakening. However, Erin is forecast to continue increasing in size and will remain a large and dangerous major hurricane through the middle of this week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 942 mb (27.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC. RAINFALL: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to produce localized areas of heavy rainfall across Puerto Rico. Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches are expected across Puerto Rico through Monday. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts to 6 inches, are forecast over the Turks and Caicos and the eastern Bahamas including San Salvador Island through Tuesday. Locally considerable flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides, are possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Erin, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Turks and Caicos Islands overnight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the southeast Bahamas overnight into Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Erin will continue to affect portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the Turks and Caicos Islands during the next couple of days. These swells will spread to the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the early and middle portions of the week. These rough ocean conditions will likely cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather forecast office for more information. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore winds in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeast Bahamas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Erin Forecast Advisory Number 27
2025-08-18 04:53:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 872 WTNT25 KNHC 180252 TCMAT5 HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052025 0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2025 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......200NE 170SE 100SW 170NW. 4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 69.3W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 68.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.2N 70.2W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.6N 71.3W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 55SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...190NE 160SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.1N 72.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 65NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 110SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.0N 72.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 65SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT...120NE 115SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...210NE 220SE 170SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 32.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 80NE 85SE 65SW 60NW. 50 KT...130NE 135SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...230NE 250SE 190SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 36.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. 34 KT...250NE 290SE 230SW 230NW. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 41.4N 56.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW. 34 KT...290NE 320SE 270SW 250NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 69.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Erin (AT5/AL052025)
2025-08-18 01:50:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY ACROSS THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD AS ERIN BECOMES A VERY LARGE HURRICANE THIS WEEK... As of 8:00 PM AST Sun Aug 17 the center of Erin was located near 22.1, -68.8 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 946 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 125 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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