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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-13 13:19:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131219 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 Corrected to add information about High Seas Forecasts and Gale warnings. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Kelly


Category:Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-13 12:37:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 131134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly


Category:Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-13 06:12:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 130512 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): Showers and thunderstorms continue in associated with a broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and portions of Haiti during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci


Category:Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-13 00:17:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 122317 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Tue Nov 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): Showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea have become more organized in associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and portions of Haiti during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci


Category:Transportation and Logistics

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-12 18:30:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121730 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Tue Nov 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central and Western Caribbean Sea: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next two to three days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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