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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-08-22 22:49:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 222049 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 450 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to discuss results of aircraft reconnaissance mission. Updated...An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is continuing to investigate the area of disturbed weather moving over and north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Aircraft reports indicate that the system is producing winds of tropical storm force over the open waters north of those islands, although the aircraft data and surface observations indicate that the system still lacks a well-defined surface circulation. Given the lack of a well-defined surface circulation, tropical cyclone advisories are not being initiated at this time. The overall organization of the showers and thunderstorms has been increasing today, but the proximity of the system to Hispaniola could limit development tonight. Conditions for development are expected to be more conducive when the disturbance moves near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Gusty winds and heavy rains are expected across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight, and over portions of Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas tonight and Saturday. Interests in the southeastern and central Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Franklin/Brennan
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