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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-08-23 13:40:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 231140 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery indicates that a surface circulation could be organizing near the northern coast of the Dominican Republic in association with the area of disturbed weather near Hispaniola. This system continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity, and environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm today or Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward over or near the southeastern Bahamas today, and over or near the central Bahamas on Sunday. Heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to continue over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola today. Winds to tropical storm force and heavy rains are expected to spread over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the central Bahamas through Sunday. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Interests in the Turks and Caicos and all of the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since tropical storm watches and warnings could be required with little advance notice. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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