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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-09-12 07:17:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 120517 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT FRI SEP 12 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Edouard, located about a thousand miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association with an area of low pressure located about 70 miles east-northeast of West Palm Beach, Florida. Strong upper-level winds and interaction with the Florida peninsula will likely inhibit development of this system today while it moves slowly west- southwestward across the southern Florida peninsula. Once the low moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico conditions could become a little more conducive for tropical cyclone formation over the weekend while the system moves westward at around 10 mph. Regardless of development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys through today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A tropical wave located south of the Cape Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph. After that time, conditions over the central tropical Atlantic are expected to be unfavorable for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Edouard are issued under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. Forecast/Advisories on Edouard are issued under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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