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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-10 13:50:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 101150 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI OCT 10 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery indicates that showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located about 625 miles south of Bermuda are becoming better organized, and a subtropical depression or storm could be forming. If this trend continues, advisories will be initiated later this morning or afternoon. The low is forecast to move northwestward and then northward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become more concentrated in association with a tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days while it moves moves westward or west- northwestward to west at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain

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