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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-11 19:56:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111756 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have become somewhat better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form by early next week. The low is expected to move westward or west-northwestward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Sunday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this system is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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