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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2014-10-12 01:10:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 112310 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, located south of Bermuda. Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands have become better organized during the past several hours. Although dry air may hamper development, the overall environment is expected to be generally conducive, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so. The low is forecast to move westward at around 10 mph, and interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas should monitor its progress. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Sunday afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rains and gusty winds are expected to move across the Leeward Islands starting early Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable, and significant development of this system is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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