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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2014-10-20 19:31:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 201731 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON OCT 20 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Surface and upper-air observations indicate that the low pressure system located over the southwestern Bay of Campeche is gradually becoming better defined. This system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone during the next two to three days while it moves slowly eastward to east-northeastward, before it interacts and possibly merges with a frontal system towards the end of the week. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow afternoon, if necessary. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent. A large non-tropical low is located over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles southeast of the Azores. This system is producing gale-force winds and could gradually acquire some subtropical characteristics during the next few days while it moves slowly westward over relatively warm waters. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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