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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-15 01:15:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 142315 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Data from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that a broad area of low pressure has formed in association with the surface trough and upper-level low over the south-central Gulf of Mexico. However, the low's circulation is not well-defined, and the current shower and thunderstorm activity remains somewhat disorganized. The aircraft also found a large area of tropical storm force winds well to the north and northeast of the low. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next couple of days across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form during that time. Another Hurricane Hunter aircraft will investigate this system Monday morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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