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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-06-15 08:00:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150600 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Surface observations and satellite data indicate that the broad area of low pressure over the south-central Gulf of Mexico has changed little over the past several hours. The system's circulation is not well-defined, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. The low continues to produce tropical storm force winds well to the east and northeast of the center. Upper-level winds are forecast to gradually become more favorable while this system moves northwestward during the next day or two across the western Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form during that time. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later this morning. Interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast and the western Louisiana coast Monday night and Tuesday. There is also a risk of heavy rainfall and possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana. For additional information, please see High Seas Forecasts and products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent && High Seas Forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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