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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-09-13 01:34:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 122334 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT SEP 12 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is currently associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace over the northeastern Caribbean Sea. Upper-level winds are not expected to be favorable for redevelopment of this system during the next several days. However, isolated heavy rain and gusty winds are still possible across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Cuba, and the Bahamas during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent Shower activity has increased over the past 24 hours in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next several days while the system moves west- northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent A small low pressure system located about 950 miles southwest of the Azores is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Beven

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