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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-09-14 19:49:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 141748 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has produced little shower activity today due to dry air nearby. However, upper-level winds are expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation and this system is still expected to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves generally northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Widespread cloudiness and shower activity continues over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico in association with an area of surface low pressure. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next day or two while it moves little. After a couple of days, a slow westward or west-northwestward motion toward Mexico is expected development will become less likely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system is located about 500 miles south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the next few days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart

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