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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-09-17 13:35:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171135 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nine, located in the central tropical Atlantic. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little in organization during the past few hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or two while this system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent A large area of disturbed weather extending from the southeastern Gulf of Mexico northeastward across Florida is associated with a broad surface trough interacting with an upper-level trough. This system is expected to move northeastward and spread heavy rains over portions of the Florida peninsula during the next day or two. A low pressure area could form over the southwestern Atlantic this weekend, and conditions there could become a little more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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