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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-18 01:30:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 172330 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Nine, located in the central tropical Atlantic. Despite the apparent favorable environment, the broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has not developed into a tropical cyclone as anticipated. The system, however, still has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. After that time, conditions are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent A large area of disturbed weather extending from the eastern Gulf of Mexico across the Florida peninsula and into the adjacent Atlantic Ocean is associated with a broad surface low interacting with an upper-level trough. This weather system will move generally northeastward producing heavy rains across portions of Florida through Friday. Surface pressures are already falling in this region, and when system moves over the Atlantic waters within a couple of days, conditions could become somewhat conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone development. For more information on this system, see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
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