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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-26 13:31:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261131 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ida, located a little more than 1000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, the Yucatan Peninsula, and northern portions of Central America. This system is expected to reach the southern Gulf of Mexico later this weekend, and will begin to interact with an upper-level low located near the Texas coast. This interaction should result in the development of a broad and complex area of low pressure that moves northward over the Gulf of Mexico early next week. Although environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf coast and southeastern United States early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles south-southwest of Bermuda are associated with an upper-level low and a surface trough. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves toward the north or north-northwest. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for development after the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Kimberlain
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