je.st
news
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-09-27 01:31:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 262331 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ida, located a little more than 1000 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. An area of low pressure located over the eastern Yucatan Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and gusty winds over portions of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and the Yucatan Peninsula. This system is expected to move northward at about 10 mph into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday and should then move more quickly northward or northeastward as it interacts with an upper-level low near the Texas coast. While upper-level winds are only expected to be marginally conducive, there is some potential for this system to become a tropical cyclone during the next couple of days before it reaches the northern Gulf Coast. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf Coast and southeastern United States early next week. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow, if necessary. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent Satellite imagery indicates that a weak area of surface low pressure has formed about 450 miles south-southwest of Bermuda, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday. Some additional gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves toward the north-northwest or northwest at 5 to 10 mph. After that time, development is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Category:Transportation and Logistics