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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2015-09-29 07:33:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 290533 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Joaquin, located a few hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas. A trough of low pressure located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles west-northwest of Tampa, Florida, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and portions of the southeastern United States. Strong upper-level winds will likely prevent any significant development of this system before it moves inland over the northern Gulf coast later today. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary. Regardless of tropical cyclone development, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of the southeastern United States during the next couple of days. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of disturbed weather over the central Atlantic several hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a frontal trough and the remnants of Ida. Some slow development of this system is possible later this week while it moves slowly west-northwestward. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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