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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2015-11-06 12:47:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 061147 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 700 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent waters of the Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized shower activity. This system is expected to move west-northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from near the Lesser Antilles eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west- northwestward moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are currently not conducive for development. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Beven
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